So far I've heard, saw, read, or it came to me in a dream that the price of diesel was going up because...
- Increased demand in China (and other emerging economies) * Decreased production of crude * Lessening supplies of crude * Expensive crude (harder to get, lower quality) * Greed by OPEC and others * Republican (Bush) favoritism to (Texas) oil barons * Republican policies angering oil producing countries * Poor forecasting/planning; not listening to the experts * Military demand for the war machine * Refineries already running at 100% capacity * Difficulty (impossibility?) to build new refineries * Shift from nuclear/hydro/coal/etc. power plants to petroleum * Increase in green (solar/wind/etc.) power sources * New petroleum burning domestic power plants * Domestic economic expansion * Increased diesel engine use in automobiles * Increase in lower MPG SUV, 4x4, minivan, and performance model sales * Automobile manufacturers in collusion with oil companies * Forced conservation * Natural disasters * Increase (fed and state) government income due to decrease in other taxes * Simple inflation * Increased labor costs (payroll, health care, other benefits) * More fuel efficient automobiles causing less demand * Changing economy (less industrial/manufacturing) decreasing demand * Changing economy (more high tech/service) increasing demand * Warehouse on wheels (Wal-Mart) inventory management practices putting more trucks on the road * Internet/catalog shopping increasing door-to-door delivery * Consumerism for more electronic/electric devices/appliances * Increased use of petro-chemicals * Global climate change * Cyclical/Normal climate fluctuation * Less air travel; more automobile/RV/train/bus/ship travel * Exodus after 9/11 from cities to suburbs/rural increasing automobile commuters/commuting distances * Build-up in desert Southwest and other areas with large energy demands * Decrease in public transportation * Come to parity with other world economies to stabilize/standardize oil prices * Preparing (cover costs) for ultra low sulfur diesel refining/distribution in 2006 * Investment of oil companies in alternative fuel sources * Alternative fuels cutting into oil companies profits * Eco-rebels forcing more regulations * Aging tanker fleets needing investment in new $$$ tankers * Aging petroleum infrastructure needing investment in new $$$ drilling/refining/distribution equipment * Aging transportation infrastructure needing $$$ investment
I suppose what's interesting to me, especially when you talk to someone, is he/she is adamant that only one or a few things contribute to the increasing costs, yet someone else has the complete contrary view.
So, what do you think?