The size of the bailout that the money boys at Cerberus Capital are seeking (and getting) from the U.S. Government is growing at a faster rate than the market share of Chrysler LLC is shrinking. According to this story --
The total so far:
$4 billion in TARP "loan" funds paid out to Chrysler on January 2. $3 billion in additional TARP "lending," announced today in a deal to be finalized by Friday. $6 billion that Chrysler previously announced as its intended share of Congress's separate $25 billion CAFE amelioration loan program. $6 billion in TARP funds already paid out to GMAC, 51% of which is owned by Cerberus Capital. An undisclosed additional amount -- but less than $6 billion -- requested by Chrysler Financial LLC (100% owned by Cerberus), to be paid out before Pres. Bush leaves office on January 20.
Assuming a total market of 14 million vehicles per year over the next five years (70 million vehicles), and assuming a 10% market share for Chrysler (7 million vehicles) (both these assumptions are generous), each $7 billion that Chrysler manages to finagle from the Government works out to $1,000 per vehicle over five years. Chrysler's indebtedness is already headed toward two times $7 billion, or $2,000 per vehicle per five years. Continued declines in sales during that period will only make it worse. Also, Chrysler remains liable for multiple billions to its suppliers and to its retired workforce.
In other words, there is no way this works. Oh well, at least Chrysler management has found something it's good at.
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