Fuel efficiency and the American driver
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- More hybrids. More diesels. Smaller engines
and fancier technology. And an initial sticker price increase that could
total a couple thousand dollars.
Those are the likely outcomes now that Congress has decided to increase
the national fuel efficiency standards to 35 miles a gallon by 2020,
from the current average of 25.
The House and Senate, after months of negotiation and lobbying, agreed
to the new standards late Friday night. The deal should spur resolution
next week of a broad energy bill that includes proposals to use more
biofuel in the nation's gas mix, eliminate tax incentives for the oil
industry and require utilities to buy more renewable energy.
But the most closely-watched issue was fuel efficiency. The new
standards could alter the economics of driving: The cost of new cars
would at first increase but over time be offset by savings at the pump.
"The cost of the technology is dwarfed by the oil savings," said Ann
Mevnikoff, Washington representative for the Sierra Club. "I think the
American people would rather put that money into technology rather than
see it disappear in oil."
Mevnikoff said by 2020 the country could save 1.2 million barrels of oil
a day, or about the same amount the country currently imports from the
Middle East. Even factoring in the technology costs, she said the
savings would amount to $26.5 billion a year.
But the upfront technology costs could be substantial.
If the measures are enacted, the auto industry would give a strong push
to its hybrid vehicles. Hybrids, which run on a combination of gasoline
and electric power, usually cost about $2,000 to $3,000 more than
Most (and least) cost-effective hybrids
Detroit would also likely roll out more diesel vehicles, which would
also cost $2,000 to $3,000 more than similar gasoline-powered vehicles
but would get much better gas mileage.
Other options include heavier marketing of smaller cars with smaller
engines, and increased use of "cylinder deactivation" - technology that
automatically shuts off cylinders in larger engines when full power
"The challenge for us is to make these technologies more attractive to
consumers and get them to purchase these vehicles," said Gloria
Bergquist, spokesperson for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers,
which includes most of the big domestic and foreign automakers. "There
may be additional costs to those, which can start at a couple of
thousand dollars. But consumers will benefit in the long run."
The domestic auto industry had long opposed fuel efficiency increases
saying they would be too expensive and would compromise safety by
pushing consumers toward smaller, lighter vehicles.
The measure seems likely to pass now that key congressional Democrats
have reached an accord.
If legislation passes and is signed by President George W. Bush, it
would mark the first major increase in U.S. fuel efficiency standards in
more than three decades, said Mevnikoff.
It would also bring the United States closer in line with other
countries, but would by no means make it the leader.
Vehicles in China average around 30 miles per gallon, a figure that is
set to rise to about 35 miles per gallon by 2009, according to the Union
of Concerned Scientists.
In Europe vehicles average about 37 miles per gallon and are set to get
50 miles a gallon by 2012. In Japan they currently average 45 miles per
Fleet-wide averages are so much better overseas because, by and large,
they drive smaller cars, likely the result of much higher fuel costs. In
Norway, for example, a gallon of gas costs over $8.
There's been some debate in this country as to whether higher fuel
efficiency standards would result in people using less gas. Some argue a
simple gasoline tax would be better, as American's will merely see their
newfound mileage gains as a chance to drive more.