If the Volt is priced at $30K++...
Detroit lags Honda in hybrid race
Analysts say the new hybrids, including a gas-electric hybrid-only model to fight the popular Toyota Prius and a hybrid version of the subcompact Fit, will hit the market at the right time, with gasoline prices continuing to rise.
"It's a game-changer for the short term if they can get the products in the marketplace in the next couple of years before the domestics can come up with a significant volume of products that get high mileage," said Jesse Toprak, chief industry analyst for the auto information site Edmunds.com.
Honda, which already has the most fuel-efficient lineup in the United States, announced Wednesday that it will sell the new hybrid-only car in the U.S., Japan and Europe starting in early 2009. It has not determined yet where the Fit will be sold.
The new models are a key part of Honda's strategy for the next 3 years that President Takeo Fukui outlined at Honda's Tokyo headquarters.
The plan also included production innovations and expansion in Japan to cut costs, so Honda can stay competitive amid soaring material and energy costs, he said.
In addition to the new model and the Fit, Honda will introduce several other hybrids: a Civic and a new sporty model based on the CR-Z, Fukui said.
Fukui refused to give the price for the new hybrid-only vehicle.
But he said the difference between hybrids and their comparable standard models should be kept within $1,900, although such price gaps can now reach as much as $4,800.
"The 200,000 yen [$1,900] difference is a must," Fukui said.
Hybrids deliver a cleaner, more efficient ride by switching between a gas engine and an electric motor at different speeds, and by recycling the energy the car produces as it moves.
Honda's hybrids compound a problem that Ford Motor Co (F, Fortune 500)., General Motors Corp (GM, Fortune 500). and Chrysler LLC already are scrambling to overcome: the U.S. market shift to small cars. The American automakers are known for making trucks and sport utility vehicles.
"It does put them a little bit on their back foot in the sense that small cars have not been a core market for them," said Michael Robinet, vice president of global forecast services for CSM Worldwide, an auto industry consulting company based in Northville, Mich.
GM and Ford, Robinet said, can rely on their European and Asian operations for small-car expertise to quickly catch up. Chrysler has few small vehicles of its own but has signed a deal for Nissan Motor Co. (NSANY) to make small Chrysler cars in 2010.
Honda's hybrids come as all automakers are rushing to make their models more fuel-efficient. GM largely has focused on hybrids in its larger vehicles and on the Chevrolet Volt, a plug-in electric car it hopes to bring to market in 2010. Ford is banking on its Ecoboost direct-injection turbocharged engines and has midsize hybrids due out next year, while Chrysler is developing efficient smaller diesels and has hybrids in some large SUVs. Competing technologies
"They've done a lot of navel-gazing, saying, 'What are we good at?'" Robinet said. "They've all basically said we're all good at something different. GM and Toyota have the resources to invest in every technology, but others have to invest in some and do joint ventures for others."
No one really knows what technology will catch on with consumers, Robinet said.
"Everybody's nervous about missing the ship that leaves the dock quickest, whether it's ethanol, battery technology," Robinet said. "But it's difficult to say, 'Are they missing it?' because everybody's going down a different route."
As recently as last year, people buying hybrids did so to make a statement about their concern for the environment, but that has changed and Honda is ready to capitalize on it, Toprak said.
"Now we're after mass market, and mass market is more aware of the hybrids than ever due to high gas prices," he said.
Honda did not disclose the name for its new hybrid but said it will be a
5-door sedan seating 5 passengers. It will feature new technology that reduces the size and weight of the hybrid system to increase fuel efficiency, according to Honda, Japan's 2nd-biggest automaker.Although Honda already has developed hybrids, it has fallen behind Japanese rival Toyota Motor Corp. (TM) in this segment.
Last year, Honda discontinued the gas-and-electric version of its Accord sedan - sold only in North America - which sold just 25,000 units since going on sale in 2004. In 2006, it pulled the plug on the slow-selling
2-seat Insight hybrid.Honda (HMC) said it's also pushing its fuel-cell technology to ease environmental concerns.
A fuel-cell vehicle has no emissions because it runs on the power created when hydrogen, stored as fuel in the vehicle, combines with oxygen in the air to emit water.
Honda said it expects to lease several dozen of its new fuel-cell vehicle, the FCX Clarity, per year - mostly in California - reaching 200 vehicles in the initial 3 years. The leasing is set to start in July
2008 in the United States and a few months later in Japan.