They're not asking, "How do you like it?" They are asking a different question, "How many problems have you had with it?" I could just love my new Prius even though I had a problem with the power steering pump, a leak in the truck and a cracked windshield. Or I might hate it even though it has had no problems.
Actually, they probably only have 3 - 6K on the car as the average new model is only three months old when the survey is completed. As someone said, you might be able to determine it is terrible that quick, but it is too soon to know if it is great. That first year record is the equivalent of the JDP initial quality survey except JDP mixes reliability questions with fuzzy stuff like how the dealer treats you.
Why does Toyota give Yaris a solid prediction based on little evidence? You would have to ask them but I suspect that they looked at the first year results and compared them to older Toyotas that had similar first year reliability and decided that Yaris would likely be very good.
Sounds like a wild theory to me. If the water pump broke, the water pump broke. Even at the height of their popularity, the monster SUVs never were rated reliable by their smug owners.
First of all, the first year reliability ratings on Focus aren't as good as most Toyotas. Second, the prediction is based on all model years available, not just results for the most recent model year (which we agree doesn't mean much.) Focus reliability has been mediocre over the years.
They apparently decided that there were too many unknowns for the new design. If they had based a prediction on past experience with the Focus, it probably would have gotten an empty circle.
I think they base it on three years if available. I seem to recall them noting when a prediction was based on only a single year's survey.
But the only reason you know it is a "turkey" is because CR told you it was. Up until 2006, the Camry has an excellent reliability record. If there was bias in the system, how was the poor reliability of 2006 and 2007 models spotted so quickly? Same thing with the 2007 Tundra. Both of the vehicles received high marks in testing. There was no reason fro the owners to suddenly turn on them. They just independently reported the troubles they had and when the results were tallied, they had a relatively poor level of reliability that was very surprising for a Toyota product. There is no reason to suspect that the results are not accurate.
AFAIK, no one even suspected that Toyota quality was slipping until CR reported this. That says to me that they could easily have covered it up if they chose.
Predicting excellent reliability on a new model when the "manufacturer has a track record of consistently outstanding (above average) reliability" doesn't seem unreasonable.
Consumer Reports isn't the authoritative survey, but because it's on the magazine shelf it has a lot of clout with the typical consumer. If you know a more authoritative source than JD Powers let me know.
MotorsForum website is not affiliated with any of the manufacturers or service providers discussed here.
All logos and trade names are the property of their respective owners.