We're sorta splitting hairs here, and I'm mostly in agreement that the Mini has acceptable reliability. But let me explain again what I see ...
I have the CR 2004 April Auto Issue right in front of me, and CR never, that I can tell, associates any given trouble-spot ratings with a qualitative assessment of "excellent", "very good", etc. They just do a simple color-coding of numeric data:
full-red circle: < 2% owners report problems half-red: 2-5% white: 5-9.3% half-black: 9.3-14.8% full-black: > 14.8%
As you say, the 2003 Mini gets 8 full-red circles and 6 half-reds.
Worst-case, I can do the same calculation and come up with a 63% chance that
2003 Mini owners reported no problems (0.98^8 * 0.95^6). (BTW, if I do the same calculation on the 2002 Mini, I come up with a a 39% chance of no problems.) These numbers are encouraging, although you have to keep in mind that they represent data collected in 2003 and many 2003 owners had their cars a very short time.
In addition to these individual area scores, CR reports an overall "reliability verdict" which has three possible values:
red check: Better than average gray dash: average black x: below average
They give the 2003 (and 2002) Mini a "black x" showing it to be below average.
How can it be "below average" with so many full-red circles? It's because the average 2003 car had 13 full-red circles, rather than the Mini's eight. Doing the same math, the average 2003 car had a 73% chance of no problems and obviously 63% is below 73%. Thus, it's "below average."
We're in agreement that the Mini may be reliable enough for a given owner and this little math exercise certainly illustates how you don't want to make these reliability ratings unduly important in selecting a car - should you avoid a 10%-less reliable vehicle that you prefer otherwise? Probably not. In fact, that's the rationale I used to get one - I recognized that the Mini wasn't going to be as trouble-free as an RSX, but I decided it was reliable enough.
But I continue to disagree that CR has somehow rated the individual reliability of the Mini components as mostly "excellent" and then concluded it was "unreliable". At least in the printed edition I have in front of me, they never did either. They report the numbes and say it is "below average". That's it.
Maybe they say things differently on their web site.
- Mark