OT: Here comes Ivan

Keep us in your thoughts on Thursday. We live in south-central Alabama (Montgomery area) and Ivan is due to come roaring by to the west of us. Being on the east side of a hurricane is the last place you want to be. The weather forecast just indicated that we might see constant 70 mph winds with gusts to 100 mph for _several hours_ on Thursday. Not to mention the 10 to

15 inches of rainfall.

By the way, if someone wants to make a good deal of money tomorrow, stop by Montgomery, Alabama with a truckload of D-Cell batteries and I guarantee you'll sell them all out. There's a terrible shortage of them here. I guess everyone has D-Cell flashlights (myself included, but I always keep spare and good batteries around).

Hope to be back posting and reading on Friday.

Reply to
Malcolm
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Reply to
Malcolm

Ivan's girlfriend Jeanne isn't far behind...

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*stares suspiciously at Jan, foot tapping impatiently* We haven't had this kind of hurricane season...um... EVER.

Looks like New Orleans could really be in trouble from Ivan...

"Walter Maestri, an emergency manager in New Orleans, America's most vulnerable metropolitan area, has 10,000 body bags ready in case a major hurricane hits. As Hurricane Ivan's expected path shifted uncomfortably close to the low-lying urban soup bowl, Maestri said Tuesday he might need a lot more."

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Reply to
Shaggie

Well, as I sit here on the eastern side of a cat 4 hurricane, I'm just a tad on the nervous side. We've boarded up all the windows, turned the air-conditioner to 60 (cold as can be before we loose power) frozen bottles of water, and we may die of malnutrition but not starvation. Got enough junk food to feel an army. We've made a safe room with mattress and all, and will be hunkered down there for the night.

Keep us in your prayers,

Susan

74 Std Bug Betty Milton FL
Reply to
Susan S

Well I'm a little bit to the west of you Susan in Crestview and I'm starting to get a little nervous too. I just hope it doesn't start coming east at all!

Mac

Reply to
Mac

Good luck and keep us updated. I have some very good friends in Pensacola that I'm worried about. I'm hoping they were smart enough to get the hell out of there.

Randy

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Reply to
RSMEINER

You guys think you have eit bad, I'm in Mobile. Tim Klopfenstein

Reply to
Tim Klopfenstein

Hey Gareth Is it to late to tell Alex to sell his tree house now. Last time I talked to him he was planning on takeing it up 4 ft but I'm sure it didnt happen I hope he has gotten everything to much higher ground and got the heil out of there.

Mario

Reply to
Kafertoys

Well get the hell out of there.

Randy

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Reply to
RSMEINER

So far only light wind and light rain. Tonight will tell the difference. I'm relatively high and inland.

Reply to
Tim Klopfenstein

Shite! Ivan is aimed right at you!

Reply to
David Gravereaux

Does that tunnel under the bay flood pretty easy ? And who has to clean all those tiles ?

Randy

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Reply to
RSMEINER

David Gravereaux wrote:

Hot off the press.. err.. telnet:rainmaker.wunderground.com:3000 actually. Take cover, good luck.

Weather Conditions at 07:21 PM CDT on 15 Sep 2004 for Mobile, AL. Temp(F) Humidity(%) Wind(mph) Pressure(in) Weather ======================================================================== 75 89% NE at 32 29.47 heavy rain mist

Forecast for Mobile, AL

400 PM CDT Wed Sep 15 2004

...Hurricane Warning through Thursday... ...Tornado Watch until 11 PM CDT... ...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday...

.Tonight...Hurricane force winds. Widespread showers and thunderstorms. Southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gust to 55 mph becoming southeast 85 to 95 mph with gusts to around 120 mph. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 100 percent. .Thursday...Hurricane force winds. Widespread showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 60 to 70 mph with gusts to around 100 mph becoming west 35 to 45 mph with gusts to around 65 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 100 percent. .Thursday night...Mostly cloudy. Windy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to around 45 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 60 percent. .Friday...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .Friday night...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .Saturday...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. .Saturday night...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. .Sunday...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. .Sunday night...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. .Monday...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. .Monday night...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. .Tuesday...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent. .Tuesday night...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. .Wednesday...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

************************* Local hurricane statement ************************* 510 PM CDT Wed Sep 15 2004

...Dangerous Hurricane Ivan moving closer to the Alabama coast... ...A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...

...Areas affected... this statement recommends specific actions to be taken by residents of Mobile and Baldwin counties in southwestern Alabama... and Escambia...Santa Rosa...and Okaloosa counties in northwestern Florida.

...Watches/warnings... a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Mobile and Baldwin counties of southwestern Alabama...and Escambia...Santa Rosa...and Okaloosa counties of northwestern Florida.

...Storm information... at 500 PM CDT...the eye of Hurricane Ivan was located near latitude

28.6 N and longitude 88.2 W...or about 120 miles south of Dauphin Island Alabama. Ivan was moving to the north near 14 mph...and this motion is expected to continue until landfall early Thursday morning somewhere in the vicinity of Mobile Bay. Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph with higher gusts...which makes Ivan a category 4 hurricane. While some fluctuations in intensity may occur...Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane. These extreme winds will have a major impact on the area.

...Precautionary/preparedness actions... evacuations should have been completed.

...Storm surge flood and storm tide impacts... the center of Ivan is expected to move into Mobile Bay tonight. This will cause a storm surge of 10 to 14 ft along the immediate coastal sections of the Alabama coast...with a surge near 16 ft possible in the upper part of Mobile Bay. Flooding of downtown Mobile from the Mobile River West to beyond broad street is possible. Much of Dauphin Island will be flooded...as well as much of The Fort Morgan peninsula. Lesser but still serious storm surge flooding will also occur in Gulf Shores and Orange Beach along the Alabama coast...and from Pensacola to Destin in the northwest Florida Panhandle where a storm surge near 10 ft is possible. With regard to Escambia Bay near Pensacola...a general 4 to 6 ft surge is likely to occur...except for around 8 feet in the upper end of the Bay.

...Wind impacts... the current forecast has Mobile and Baldwin counties of Alabama in a prolonged period of hurricane force winds of 75 mph or more...with peak winds of 130 to 140 mph possible near the coast when Ivan makes landfall early Thursday morning. This will result in extreme damage to structures near the coast and extensive damage further inland...especially to Mobile homes.

Tropical storm force winds...40 mph or more...have already reached the coastline and will continue to spread inland and should increase to hurricane force this evening. The coastal counties can expect an estimated 25 to 30 hours of tropical storm force winds of 40 mph and about 10 to 15 hours of hurricane force winds. The wind impact will also be very high for the inland portions of southwestern and south central Alabama and southeastern Mississippi. Inland hurricane wind warnings are also now in effect as counties very near the track can experience 5 to 10 hours of hurricane force wind conditions and counties further away up to 5 hours.

...Rip current threat and rainfall amounts... a Flood Watch remains in effect for much of south and southwest Alabama and the northwest Florida Panhandle. Rainfall amounts of 8 to 10 inches will be likely...with some locations getting as much as

15 inches of rain. If Ivan slows down prior to and\or after landfall... rainfall amounts could easily approach 20 inches in a few spots. Flood warnings may be required Thursday. Remember... turn around don't drown.

Storm surge values of this magnitude combined with these expected rainfall values...will create a condition whereby rivers will not be able to drain as normal. Thus...inland river flooding may become a major problem...especially from Thursday and into the weekend.

The threat of dangerous rip currents will linger into Friday after Ivan passes. People are discouraged from swimming or recreational boating until the effects of Ivan are no longer affecting the region.

...Tornado threat... a Tornado Watch remains in effect along the coastal counties and all of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. Tornadoes are likely from now until Ivan moves inland and into the central part of Alabama.

...Next update... the National Weather Service in Mobile will begin short term forecasts every 1 to 3 hours until Ivan moves inland. Hurricane local statements will only be issued as new information becomes available. Instead...please refer to the short term forecasts (bhmnowmob) for the latest information on Ivan from your National Weather Service office in Mobile.

Beeler/Cullen

Expires:160100 GMT

Reply to
David Gravereaux

The tunnel on I-10 is pretty flood proof. I guess there are circumstances where it could flood. The old tunnel was closed at 8:00 this morning. Believe it or not there is a crew that steams those tunnels regularly. There is a surveillance system in the tunner and on both approaches that would blow your mind. They give tours if you are ever in Mobile and interested. Tim Klopfenstein

From: snipped-for-privacy@aol.comcrap (RSMEINER) Does that tunnel under the bay flood pretty easy ? And who has to clean all those tiles ?

Reply to
Tim Klopfenstein

Reply to
Tim Klopfenstein

So far people east and west of us have had it a lot worse than we have. I am more worried about my Karmann Ghia which is in a body shop about 30 miles north of here thatn I am of my house. I hope the shop is sturdy. Wouldn't it be a rip to have your body shell ruined by a hurricane. Tm

Reply to
Tim Klopfenstein

I've been thru the I-10 tunnel a few times. Or at least I think it was the I-10 tunnel. Is that the one that dumps you out onto a long bridge and then you go by the big ship ?

Randy

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Reply to
RSMEINER

That is it.

Reply to
Tim Klopfenstein

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