Horizon - Global Dimming/Warming

The theory behind the program, that more sunlight is reflected, due to (sulphate) aerosols is proven false.

As you may know, we have some satellites flowing around out of the atmosphere, which measure reflected sunlight (SW reflection) and heat (LW emission) from below.

For the (sub)tropics, in the period 1985-2001 the amount of sunlight reflected by clouds reduced with ~2 W/m2. (see:

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confirmed for the 30N-30S (sub)tropics in
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) In the same period, there was a loss of cloud cover, both in the tropics and sub tropics (and even up to 60N-60S).

If there is global dimming at the surface, the only explanation possible is that more sunlight is retained in the atmosphere. Which is (only) possible with (dark brown and black) soot particulate.

If soot particulate is to blame, then a reduction of them would have a cooling effect, not a warming effect!

See also the amount of reflected sunlight from earth on the moon ("eartshine"), which parallels the "global dimming" trend, while it should have opposite trends, at:

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Ferdinand

Reply to
FerdiEgb
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The program should have been right, if they should have given details about what the different aerosols do. Sulphate aerosols are of particular interest, as they attract water and may seed clouds. These reflect more sunlight back to space. Other aerosols (natural or human-induced) like sea-salt, Sahara sand, fertiliser,... reflect sunlight, but don't attract water. Soot aerosols absorb sunlight and thus heat the surrounding air. The net effect is that sulphate aersols have the highest direct and indirect (on clouds) cooling impact, followed by the others for mainly direct impact, while soot aerosols have a net warming effect. See the graphs 1d-1h of the IPCC for the different results of human-induced aerosols at:

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Thus reducing pollution, especially soot, will be beneficial for health anyway, without causing a runaway warming effect, instead it will give some cooling.

Ferdinand

Reply to
FerdiEgb

While our pollution certainly doesn't help, it is worth noting that in Roman times grapes were grown in Southern Scotland and in Dickens' time the Thames regularly froze over. While dealing with polution is a must, it is also important to factor in the (seemingly) regular climate changes before coming to a conclusion - not a trait of TV programmes that try to imply they are giving all the facts.

Just my 2p's worth.

Richard

Reply to
beamendsltd

...and wheat was grown in Greenland too.

Steve

Reply to
Steve Taylor

But those facts water down the argument so they have to be left out. Same with the vapour trails thing - requires specific atmospheric conditions for them to form at all, and even more specific conditions for them to form, persist and spread. Most often the specific conditions for formation occur above existing cloud anyway so it makes absolutley no difference. No denial that they do affect the temp range when they form and spread on an otherwise clear blue day, but the conditions are local (certainly not USA wide, as the programme suggested) and certainly no worse than a whiff of cirrus or the build-up of cumulus on an otherwise clear and beat day.

If you've got an axe to grind, it's dead easy to find some facts and statistics that you can quote to support the swing of that axe, especially if you quote them in isolation from any non-supportive arguments, facts and statistics. I noticed how the "scientist" had his focus on one specific little patch of California with four or five trails across it. Probably got a PhD out of it too. They'll be banning fox hunting next and pretending that badgers don't spread TB into cattle!!

Steve

Reply to
Steve

So Steve was, like

Nah, could never happen here....

Reply to
Richard Brookman

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