The true cost, even with the 4 dollar drop in crude this week, hasn't been passed on, If you think 4 dollar gas is expensive try pushing you car as far as it will go on a gallon of gas. The price won't bother you nearly as much after you've pushed it a few miles. The hot money is now looking at refineries,
formatting link
$140%20Next?.html Notice how the Crack Spread reached $30/bbl at the end of May 2007. But this year, the spread has struggled for most of 2008 to get above $15/bbl. And now it appears the spread has is once again gaining some momentum, climbing its way back towards the $30 level, which I believe it will try to get back to. However, it has a way to go and from there it will require a shift in momentum to turn it around. When we see the Crack Spread start trading sideways, after it moves above $30/bbl, then a top might be forming.
The article is a little off. For one, not all refiners were losing money. Valero, which supposed lost money actually had a postive cash flow. Sunoco, Frontier and ExxonMobil also made money in their refining (or downstream) businesses in the US for the last several quarters. For sure, they didn't make as much money on the refining business as they did in the past, but they are definitely making money.
However, the gist of the article is correct: Oil companies are not making as much money at refining oil, and they will do what is necessary to make more money.
Personally, I don't see a problem with this. This is what they are in business for.
Plus there are only minor fluctuations in *percent* profit. Example to illustrate the basic concept: A business that starts out as one store and expands to a chain of many stores would not keep their profits at the same dollar amount with the many stores as they previously did with the single store, else they are extremely vulnerable (to certain and rapid bankruptcy) at the slightest downturn in business.
Anyone who has at least one ounce of business sense knows that you have to work in percents - not in real dollars - to reflect scaling. I consider anyone who doesn't recognize this fact to be ignorant or dishonest. And one does not have to own a business to grasp the concept (of scaling) unless they are grossly mentally deficient or dishonest. Percents are how scaling (relative fluctuation - large or small) is reflected. Talking only in raw dollars does not do that except for a single point in time.
Bill Putney (To reply by e-mail, replace the last letter of the alphabet in my address with the letter 'x')
Well, of course they are. And they certainly are, aren't they?
I don't care what anyone says, "Record Profits" is record profits. It's pretty amazing it's also happening when the consumer is being squeezed harder almost every day.
Remember, the oil companies say they need to raise prices to keep up with costs.
If this were the case, profits would stay about the same.
And they are - around 9 to 11%. As I said before, profits generally should be spoken of in terms of percentages so that things are automatically scaled (normalized). What part of that don't you understand? If you own a store and you expand to a chain of 3 stores, do you try to maintain the same dollar profit for your entire business as you did when it was just one store, or do you scale it by looking at percentages? Come on. Wake up.
Bill Putney (To reply by e-mail, replace the last letter of the alphabet in my address with the letter 'x')
You talking about the oil industry as if it is one industry. It is really several, drilling and transporting oil, refining oil and marketing gasoline and other products.
I don't agree that the profits should necessarily be a proportion of the revenues, though.
However, I have not seen anyone give a good explanation of what oil company profits should be.
Your attitude towards oil companies is amazing, considering we mostly sit on opposite sides of the table.
If you recall as post I made the other day, I mentioned the ultra-Liberal Senators and Congressmen we have here in my state. Today, *I* of all people got a 'letter' from one of the most Liberal Congressmen this state has ever seen.
In it, he detailed how the Democrats in Congress were going to 'bring the oil companies to their knees!' (My paraphrasing, but that's about what it said), and also how they were going to sue OPEC.
Your take on this is quite opposite what your 'leaders' are saying.
Actually, I like McCain for his most of his environmental stands.
I am guessing that this is a letter sent to all the people of his district, not just those of his political bend.
Not only is this a waste of paper, but, if the voters understood how much money the oil company executives gave to Congressmen, Congresswomen and Senators, as well as the nearly complete inability of Congress to regulate oil prices, other than to fix any regulatory issues related to markets and possible speculation, it would be an insult to them.
Plus, Bush isn't going to sign much of anything, even if Congress could get something passed.
MotorsForum website is not affiliated with any of the manufacturers or service providers discussed here.
All logos and trade names are the property of their respective owners.