Interesting theory, the bit of housing that broke free & remained with the car does not appear to have any marks, other than those normally found on a rough casting.
If I peer inside (would love to put a pinhole camera in there), all appears OK, but I can't really tell without removing the diff & thats so much trouble that I might as well get the clutch done + put a recon 'box back in.
Took a look over on the cavweb forums, this seems to be a familiar story. Not many have good words to say about the F18 'box.